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2012 NFL Combine Predictions: Potential Fallers

In terms of stock for college football prospects, the NFL Combine giveth and the NFL Combine taketh away. And while some prospects next weekend are going to light up Lucas Oil Stadium like a Christmas tree, others might see their draft stock slip a bit due to a sub-par 40 yard dash time, height and/or weight results that come in below projected totals, poor interviews, etc. The reasons for falling draft stock are sometimes overblown (something Aaron Rodgers would gladly attest to, I am sure), and sometimes they are very much justified (remember when people thought the Dolphins were going to take Vernon Gholston with the first overall pick in 2008?). In the end, draft stock only tells part of a player's story, but it's a vital part of the process used to justify whether a particular draft pick is a reach or a value selection; a need or simply a best-player-available approach; and, sometimes, a success or a failure.

Here's a look at three big-name prospects who might have some work to do after next weekend.

Star-divide

1) Jonathan Martin, OT Stanford

Martin was viewed as the No. 2 tackle prospect in the 2012 NFL Draft through must of last season, but plodding footwork and average output in pass protection in 2011 reduced him to potentially being the No.4 tackle in this draft class. For Martin to nudge out Ohio State's Mike Adams for the No. 3 overall tackle spot, he'll have to show scouts he is comfortable sliding and mirroring pass-rushers and nimble enough to recover when initially beaten with moves to the inside or around the edge. If so, Martin will be a top 15 pick, because he's arguably the best road-grading tackle in this draft. If he struggles with Combine drills, he'll likely be a late first-round pick.

2) Alshon Jeffery, WR South Carolina

Alshon Jeffery has former USC Trojan Mike Williams to thank for being included on this list. Jeffery is a big-bodied, physical wideout with phenomenal mitts and elite ball skills, but his weight is ... well, up there for a wide receiver. And because Jeffery's speed is marginal at best, it's unlikely he'll be able to demonstrate any semblance of separation speed during Combine drills unless he chooses to cut weight. Bottom line, Jeffery needs to weigh in under 235 pounds and run in the 4.5s to warrant a late 1/early 2 selection. Otherwise, he'll be viewed as a candidate for the Williams/LenDale White school of eating.

And to be fair, the 40 yard dash will also greatly affect the draft stock of Notre Dame's Michael Floyd. Floyd cut a bit of weight this season and looked much more explosive for the effort, but he'll need to run in the mid-4.5 range if he wants to hold off Baylor's Kendall Wright as the No.2 wideout prospect in the 2012 draft. Wright's 40 time will almost certainly be ridiculous (likely in the 4.3s), so Floyd's work will be cut out for him.

3) Dre Kirkpatrick, CB Alabama

This one could go either way, since Kirkpatrick's possesses some elite physical attributes for the cornerback position. He has outstanding height (6'2") and arm length, and he's expected to run in the mid-4.4 range. He's also a fierce run defender and a big-time hitter in the Ronnie Lott mold. However, Kirkpatrick's man coverage abilities are still very much in question, so scouts will be on the lookout for any sloppy footing in his backpedal or tightness in his hips. If his technical skills check out in Indianapolis, Kirkpatrick will potentially lock up the No.2 cornerback spot in this draft. If he struggles during drills, then he'll likely be leapfrogged by North Alabama's Janoris Jenkins (who is the polar opposite of Kirkpatrick--short stature, but simply brilliant in man coverage).

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Comments

I'm be more worried about Dre's hits taking a toll on his body throughout his career

And while hits may be more entertaining, it’s no substitute for good tackling.

You have to include Trent Richardson on this list

Just because he’s rated so high. Any RB viewed as a Top 5 pick (Top 10 for sure) has nowhere to go but down. His value has peaked and at best all Richardson can do is hold his value. If he disappoints in the speed category or cone drills, his value could potentially fall.

I hope
I hope Lucks stock drops to the 9th pick.
Yeah?

I hope someone gives me a billion dollars!

Would you buy a place on the orange carpet?
I would buy a hell of a lot more then that of the team. I would go for controlling interest but I doubt Ross would give

that up. Hell I would be fine with enough of the pie to at least have a place at the table when big decisions are made.

Janoris Jenkins will go before Dre.

Man to Man lockdown capability is what teams want in this pass happy league. Jenkins did not get the national exposure as Dre, but the combine will be more than enough.

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